Mon 30 Jun 2008
Who Created the Electric Car?
Posted by theamericangreen under Environmental
[2] Comments
You may have seen one of those ads for GM’s Chevy Volt. They aren’t exactly intellectually honest, these ads, because they are selling a product that doesn’t technically exist yet. Theoretically, the Volt is an amazing concept: 40 to 50 miles on straight electricity, then a gas engine kicks in ONLY to charge the battery (unlike the Prius, with an electrical assist motor). You can recharge that over night with a basic three pronged plug-in. Given that more then 2/3rds of your average American commuters go less then 40 miles, you can pretty much mark this down as an ideal commuter vehicle. If the Prius has come to stand for gas reduction the Volt will be the beginning of gas elimination. The catch? The engineers haven’t actually invented it yet. But according to this amazing bit of journalism from The Atlantic’s Jonathan Rauch, the race is on. 
That’s right. Advertising a product before its even created. We know what it looks like, and what it should be able to do… but we know the same thing about the X-wing. Certainly means that missing a deadline will be a pretty obvious and transparent screw up! We confess that the reasons we went into doing some research on the Volt where that we were a little nonplussed by the advertising campaigns and we were on the look for green-washing. While a little part of their ads ARE fake (eg, getting the name Chevy associated with being green, even though the product doesn’t work yet), the article actually makes me think that GM is being extremely brave:
Given the challenges, standard procedure dictates first building and testing the battery, and only then designing a car around it. That process, however, would take until 2012 or 2013—time GM does not have if it wants to beat Toyota. The only hope of meeting the 2010 deadline is to invent the battery while simultaneously designing the car. Just-in-time inventory is common now in the car business, but just-in-time invention on the Volt’s scale is new to GM and probably to the modern automotive industry.
Its a ballsy play, to be sure: making a promise that you don’t know if you can keep, and staking your spot as front-runner in a new and burgeoning industry on that promise. But, if there’s ever going to be a way to make absolutely sure that GM is doing all they can, its by making it a serious financial and social negative to fail.
Can they hope to succeed?
My own feeling, just a reporter’s guess, is that battery glitches have reduced the odds of GM’s having the Volt in showrooms by late 2010, but advances in the underlying technology have increased the odds of its producing the Volt early in the decade. In other words, delay on the order of months is looking more likely, but delay on the order of years is looking less likely. I’d also guess that the car’s sticker price will be higher than GM initially hoped, maybe north of $35,000.
Frankly, we all all for GM shooting for the moon. If they hit, then American Auto-manufacturers are back on the map, with a smart efficient car years before Toyota and BMW even get theirs into testing. Its unclear in our minds if GM has the money and marketing smarts to keep up with the set backs (and social push-backs) from our great society. But, as this Salon article correctly notes: the best thing is that GM is seeing the Volt as its way back to glory. Other auto manufacturers are sitting up and taking notice, which on our minds means that the GM machine can wear the the Giant Bulls-eye that they just painted on their own chest with pride.




